How a 25% U.S. Tariff Could Impact Real Estate in High River, Okotoks, Calgary, and Area

John Seacrist Realtor

By John Seacrist

Realtor, Seacrist Real Estate | C21 Foothills

February 8, 2025

As a local real estate agent, I’ve been keeping a close eye on the potential impacts of a 25% U.S. tariff on Canadian imports. While often seen as a trade issue, the ripple effects of this tariff could have significant consequences for homeowners, buyers, and renters in High River, Okotoks, Calgary, and the surrounding area. Let’s take a closer look at how this could impact our local real estate market.

 

Rising Costs and Real Estate Impact
With the tariff raising prices on goods like groceries, vehicles, and home maintenance supplies, everyday expenses for residents in High River, Okotoks, Calgary, and area will likely rise. For homeowners, this means higher costs for renovations, repairs, and upkeep. For potential buyers, increased living costs could make it more difficult to save for a down payment, further tightening an already competitive market in our region.

 

Mortgage Pressures and Affordability
The combination of rising inflation and the economic uncertainty caused by the tariff could prompt the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates. This could lead to higher mortgage rates. For current homeowners with variable-rate mortgages or those renewing at higher rates, this could mean significantly higher monthly payments. For prospective buyers, increased rates coupled with higher living expenses could make homeownership even less affordable, especially in Calgary, where home prices have been steadily climbing.

 

Economic Uncertainty and Job Market Risks
Here in Alberta, many industries—particularly energy and agriculture—are heavily reliant on cross-border trade with the U.S. A tariff could disrupt these industries, leading to job instability. For families relying on steady income to manage their mortgage or rent payments, job loss or wage stagnation could become a real concern. This could result in more financial strain, higher foreclosure rates, and possibly even forced home sales. For potential buyers, this economic uncertainty may make them hesitate to enter the market, slowing down real estate activity in High River, Okotoks, Calgary, and area.

 

Final Thoughts
While the full effects of the 25% tariff are still uncertain, it’s important to prepare for potential financial challenges. That said, we’re fortunate to be in a province with a real estate market that, in my opinion, offers a strong outlook compared to other areas like Toronto or Vancouver. Alberta’s housing market continues to show resilience and long-term growth potential, especially with more affordable entry points and a diverse economy.

If you have any questions about how these changes might affect your home buying or selling decisions, don’t hesitate to reach out. As a local real estate agent here in High River, I’m here to help you navigate this evolving market and make the best choices for your future.

John and Trish Seacrist

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